The fair value of requested stock should be $99.54
* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
These criteria used Company’s Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $451 M
Debt : $4,120 M
EBITDA : $1,220 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $3,669 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trucking
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company’s Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 22.17
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 20 - 25, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $55 M
Average Revenue: $6,408 M
Free Cash Flow to Revenue : 1 %
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $8,072 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $16,252 M
Revenue Growth: -10%
Since Revenue Growth is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $120 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $92 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $4.35
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0%
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: 6%
Since Average ROE is less than 10, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $96
52-Week Low: $85
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $98
Since Current price is within 15% threshold, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $12,217 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the calculated score, we recommend do not exceed 3% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 15 points to above XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) stock.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 12. Since current year earning per share is $4.35.
The fair value of XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) stock should be (12 x $4.35) = $52.20
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