The fair value of requested stock should be $99.54
* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
These criteria used Company’s Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $317 M
Debt : $5,820 M
EBITDA : $1,190 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $5,503 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas E&P
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company’s Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 11.26
Since Forward PE Ratio is less than 15, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $-845 M
Average Revenue: $9,496 M
Free Cash Flow to Revenue : -9 %
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is negative, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $4,221 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $5,210 M
Revenue Growth: -4%
Since Revenue Growth is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $157 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $10 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $9.35
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $2
Payout Ratio: 26%
Dividend Yield: 2%
Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 2, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: -28%
Since Average ROE is negative, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $105
52-Week Low: $68
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $78
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $24,341 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the calculated score, we recommend do not exceed 3% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 15 points to above Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) stock.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 12. Since current year earning per share is $9.35.
The fair value of Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) stock should be (12 x $9.35) = $112.20
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