* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Cameco Corporation (CCJ) is a premier global leader in the uranium sector, specializing in the exploration, mining, and production of uranium essential for nuclear power generation. Based in Saskatoon, Canada, Cameco operates some of the world’s largest and most efficient uranium mines, employing cutting-edge technologies to enhance operational sustainability and productivity. As the demand for nuclear energy continues to rise, Cameco stands poised to take advantage of favorable market dynamics, reflecting its commitment to responsible practices and long-term growth strategies within the energy industry.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $716 M
Debt : $996 M
EBITDA : $1,140 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $280 M
Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 1 year, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Energy & transportation
Industry: Miscellaneous metal ores
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 57.92
Since Forward PE Ratio is greater than 35, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 20 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $203 M
Average Revenue: $2,223 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 9.1%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $3,136 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2019-12-31): $1,863 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: 68.3%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 11.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 8.8%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is between 10 - 15, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $436 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $396 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.10
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.52
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.81
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 9%
Dividend Yield: 0.18%
Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 20 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: 5.7%
Since Average ROE is less than 10, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $104.67
52-Week Low: $35.00
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $40.25
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $38,405 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on high P/E, we recommend do not exceed 0.20% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
Owners' Earnings (FCF/Share) (TTM ending 2025-06-30): $2.07
Owners' Earnings (FCF/Share, latest positive annual) (2024-12-31): $1.59
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 15 points to above Cameco Corp (CCJ) stock.
Last 13 Years Avg PE
21.42, Fair Value PE
12, Industry Based PE
11, Growth Based PE
15, RCFC Based PE
9.12, ROE Based PE
5.75, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
18.2. Based on these 7 values, average assigned is
13.21. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
13.21. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$1.8071.
Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $23.88 (PE 13.21 × EPS $1.81)
So the Final Fair Value is: $23.88
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
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What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $1.81
Using Owners' Earnings (Latest FCF/Share): $2.07
Note: Many highly growing companies reinvest heavily back into the business,
so their Owners' Earnings may appear very low. In such cases, other criteria should
be considered to assess the company’s true worth.
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Market (1 Yr Ago) | 82.89 | $149.79 |
| 13 Yrs Avg-PE | 21.42 | $38.71 |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 13.21 | $23.87 |
| Owners' Earnings × 13 Yrs Avg-PE | 21.42 | $44.34 |
