* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. designs, manufactures, produces and sells components and assemblies to the US global vehicle and technology integrator markets in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific regions. The company is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $33 M
Debt : $114 M
EBITDA : $28 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $81 M
Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 3 years, 1 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Consumer cyclical
Industry: Auto parts
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 54.11
Since Forward PE Ratio is greater than 35, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Error: Invalid cash flow data provided.Using default values for calculation.
Based on default values, 1 points assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2025-12-31): $649 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $718 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: -9.6%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): -2.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): -1.8%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2025-12-31): $34 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2021-12-31): $33 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.08
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.08
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.08
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 18 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -11.9%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $4.15
52-Week Low: $0.82
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $0.94
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $144 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on high P/E, we recommend do not exceed 0.20% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 7 points to above Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) stock.
Fair Value PE
9, Industry Based PE
15, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
17.36. Based on these 3 values, average assigned is
13.79. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
13.82. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$0.0767.
Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $1.06 (PE 13.79 × EPS $0.08)
So the Final Fair Value is: $1.06
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
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What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $0.08
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 13.82 | $1.06 |
