* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $317 M
Debt : $5,291 M
EBITDA : $1,656 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $4,974 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: NA
Industry: NA
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 12.12
Since Forward PE Ratio is less than 15, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $549 M
Average Revenue: $9,478 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash FLow(%): 6%
Avg Free Cash Flow Growth Per Year (Last 5 Years): 946.76%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $4,221 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $5,210 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: -4%
Since Revenue Growth is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $157 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $10 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $12.55
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $4.27
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $8.41
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $2
Payout Ratio: 29%
Dividend Yield: 2%
Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 2, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: -27%
Since Average ROE is negative, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $102
52-Week Low: $68
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $78
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $24,341 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 3% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 16 points to above Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) stock.
Last 3 Years Avg PE (Limited to last 3 years of EPS data) 2, Fair Value PE 12 and Industry Based PE is 15. Based on these three values average assigned is 9.67.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 9.67. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $8.41.
The fair value of Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) stock should be (9.67 x $8.41) = $81.32