* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $0 M
Debt : $0 M
EBITDA : $0 M
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Retail trade
Industry: Supermarkets and other grocery (except convenience) stores
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 19.08
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 15 - 20, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Error: Invalid cash flow data provided.Using default values for calculation.
Based on default values, 1 points assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Error: Invalid income data provided.Using default values for calculation.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Error: Invalid balance sheet data provided.Using default values for calculation.
Based on default values, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.67
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.55
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.61
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Error: Invalid income data provided.Skipping ROE-based PE.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $11.62
52-Week Low: $5.66
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $6.51
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $1,151 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 9 points to above Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) stock.
Last 7 Years Avg PE
26.53, Fair Value PE
9, Industry Based PE
15, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
15.03. Based on these 4 values, average assigned is
16.39. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
16.38. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$0.6091.
Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $9.98 (PE 16.39 × EPS $0.61)
So the Final Fair Value is: $9.98
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
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What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $0.61
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Market (1 Yr Ago) | 13.29 | $8.09 |
| 7 Yrs Avg-PE | 26.53 | $16.16 |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 16.38 | $9.98 |
Note: Only 7 years of reliable P/E data available. Fair value is calculated using blended models to reduce bias.
