* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Ibotta, Inc. is an innovative technology company headquartered in Denver, Colorado, that is redefining digital marketing through its Ibotta Performance Network (IPN). This advanced platform facilitates consumer engagement for packaged goods brands by delivering tailored digital promotions, thereby boosting customer retention and driving significant sales growth. By leveraging cutting-edge data analytics and consumer insights, Ibotta is reshaping the promotional landscape, making it an essential partner for brands aiming to enhance their marketing strategies and expand their market reach in a highly competitive digital ecosystem.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $223 M
Debt : $25 M
EBITDA : $31 M
Since Cash is greater than Total Debt, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Communication
Industry: Software - application
Based on industry, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 13.88
Since Forward PE Ratio is less than 15, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 3 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $18 M
Average Revenue: $299 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 6.2%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $367 M
Revenue 2 Years Ago (2022-12-31): $211 M
Total Growth over 2 Years: 74.3%
2-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 32.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 16.0%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Error: This stock does not have 5 years of share count data.Using default values for calculation.
Based on default values, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.22
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.76
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.49
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Insufficient valid ROE years (found 2; need ≥ 3). Dropping ROE-based PE.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $20.66
52-Week Low: $20.60
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $23.69
Since Current price is within 15% threshold, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $609 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 1% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 27 points to above Ibotta, Inc. (IBTA) stock.
Last 2 Years Avg PE
22.72, Fair Value PE
25, Industry Based PE
30, Growth Based PE
16.01, RCFC Based PE
6.17, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
18.12. Based on these 6 values, average assigned is
19.67. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
19.67. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$1.4881.
Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $29.27 (PE 19.67 × EPS $1.49)
So the Final Fair Value is: $29.27
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
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What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $1.49
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Market (1 Yr Ago) | 16.12 | $23.99 |
| 2 Yrs Avg-PE | 22.72 | $33.81 |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 19.67 | $29.27 |
Note: Only 2 years of reliable P/E data available. Fair value is calculated using blended models to reduce bias.
