* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $243 M
Debt : $1,979 M
EBITDA : $-236 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $1,737 M
Since Ebitda is less than 0, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Real estate & construction
Industry: Real estate
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 10.73
Since Forward PE Ratio is less than 15, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 3 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $-704 M
Average Revenue: $0 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 0.0%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $0 M
Revenue 2 Years Ago (2022-12-31): $0 M
Total Growth over 2 Years: 0.0%
2-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 0.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 0.0%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Error: This stock does not have 5 years of share count data.Using default values for calculation.
Based on default values, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.13
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.43
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.78
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $2
Payout Ratio: 65%
Dividend Yield: 6.09%
Since company Payout Ratio is greater than 50, 1 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 5, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 3 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -3.8%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $29.8
52-Week Low: $17.42
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $20.03
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $4,930 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 16 points to above Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) stock.
Last 1 Years Avg PE
17.13, Fair Value PE
12, Industry Based PE
11, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
18.12. Based on these 4 values, average assigned is
14.56. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
14.56. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$2.7775.
Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $40.44 (PE 14.56 × EPS $2.78)
So the Final Fair Value is: $40.44
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
▾
What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $2.78
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Market (1 Yr Ago) | 17.13 | $47.58 |
| 1 Yrs Avg-PE | 17.13 | $47.58 |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 14.56 | $40.44 |
Note: Only 1 years of reliable P/E data available. Fair value is calculated using blended models to reduce bias.
