* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Metals Acquisition Limited (MTAL) is a forward-looking metals company dedicated to acquiring and developing premium mining assets, with a particular emphasis on copper and precious metals. The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and sustainability through innovative technologies and exceptional management practices. As global demand for sustainable metal resources intensifies in the context of a low-carbon economy, MTAL is well-positioned to deliver significant shareholder value and establish itself as a leader in providing responsibly sourced materials. With a strategic focus on the evolving landscape of green technologies, Metals Acquisition represents a compelling opportunity for institutional investors seeking exposure to essential commodities.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $102 M
Debt : $352 M
EBITDA : $134 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $250 M
Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 2 years, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Materials
Industry: Copper
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 4.66
Since Forward PE Ratio is less than 15, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 4 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $4 M
Average Revenue: $125 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 3.1%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $341 M
Revenue 3 Years Ago (2021-12-31): $0 M
Total Growth over 3 Years: 0.0%
3-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 0.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 0.0%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Error: This stock does not have 5 years of share count data.Using default values for calculation.
Based on default values, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.62
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $-0.30
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.62
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
⚠️ Caution: Negative earnings detected — Further research is recommended Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 4 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -17.4%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $12.21
52-Week Low: $7.69
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $8.84
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $1,008 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 13 points to above Metals Acquisition Limited (MTAL) stock.
Last 1 Years Avg PE
10.77, Fair Value PE
12, Industry Based PE
12, RCFC Based PE
3.11, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
17.65. Based on these 5 values, average assigned is
11.11. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
11.11. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$2.62.
Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $29.10 (PE 11.11 × EPS $2.62)
So the Final Fair Value is: $29.10
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
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What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $2.62
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Market (1 Yr Ago) | 10.77 | $28.22 |
| 1 Yrs Avg-PE | 10.77 | $28.22 |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 11.11 | $29.11 |
Note: Only 1 years of reliable P/E data available. Fair value is calculated using blended models to reduce bias.
