* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
NextDecade Corporation, headquartered in Houston, Texas, is a leading liquefied natural gas (LNG) development company dedicated to the liquefaction and commercialization of natural gas. The firm is actively progressing on state-of-the-art LNG export facilities and has established significant partnerships to enhance operational efficiency and expand its market footprint. With a strong commitment to sustainability and a focus on addressing global energy demands, NextDecade is well-positioned to contribute to a lower-carbon economy. Its innovative projects and strategic market positioning make it an appealing opportunity for institutional investors looking to capitalize on the energy transition.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $209 M
Debt : $6,609 M
EBITDA : $165 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $6,400 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & gas equipment & services
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Message: Cannot calculate PE Ratio since EPS is either 0 or negative.
Using default values for calculation.
Forward PE Ratio (using default values): 20.00
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 20 - 25, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 11 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $-435 M
Average Revenue: $0 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -2,442,905,526.0%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $0 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2019-12-31): $0 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: 0.0%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 0.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 0.0%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $259 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $118 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $-0.21
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.00
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.00
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
⚠️ Caution: Negative earnings detected — Further research is recommended - Next Fiscal Yr EPS: $-0.21
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 11 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -1,126.9%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $5.82
52-Week Low: $5.16
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $5.93
Since Current price is within 15% threshold, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $1,605 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 12 points to above Nextdecade Corp (NEXT) stock.
Fair Value PE 12, Industry Based PE 15, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 18.47. Based on these 3 values, average assigned is 15.16. The fair value of Nextdecade Corp (NEXT) stock cannot be calculated since EBITDA and EPS are either 0 or negative.
