* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Orchid Island Capital, Inc., a specialty finance company, invests in Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $309 M
Debt : $0 M
EBITDA : $0 M
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Financials
Industry: REIT - Mortgage
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 78.33
Since Forward PE Ratio is greater than 35, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $52 M
Average Revenue: $-12 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 0%
Avg Free Cash Flow Growth Per Year (Last 5 Years): 411.35%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $54 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $13 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 66%
Since Revenue Growth is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $65 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $13 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.05
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.14
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.09
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $1
Payout Ratio: 1600%
Dividend Yield: 21%
Since company Payout Ratio is greater than 50, 1 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 5, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: -5%
Since Average ROE is negative, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $7
52-Week Low: $5
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $6
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $909 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 0.20% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 15 points to above Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) stock.
Last 4 Years Avg PE (Limited to last 4 years of EPS data) 13.34, Fair Value PE 12, Industry Based PE is 15 and Growth based PE is 32. Based on these all values average assigned is 18.09.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 18.09. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $0.09.
The fair value of Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) stock should be (18.09 x $0.09) = $1.63
