* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
AVITA Medical Inc. is a pioneering regenerative medicine company focused on developing innovative treatments for patients with skin-related conditions. Based in Valencia, California, the company operates in the United States, Australia, and the United Kingdom, leveraging its advanced technology in skin cell regeneration to enhance healing processes. With a strong emphasis on clinical efficacy and safety, AVITA aims to transform patient care in wound management and cosmetic solutions, positioning itself as a leader in the regenerative tissue industry.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $12 M
Debt : $42 M
EBITDA : $-45 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $30 M
Since Ebitda is less than 0, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Health care
Industry: Medical devices
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Message: Cannot calculate PE Ratio since EPS is either 0 or negative.
Using default values for calculation.
Forward PE Ratio (using default values): 20.00
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 20 - 25, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 19 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $-14 M
Average Revenue: $12 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -113.7%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $64 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $5 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: 1,090.6%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 64.1%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 32.1%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $26 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2021-12-31): $24 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $-0.54
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.00
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.00
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0%
⚠️ Caution: Negative earnings detected — Further research is recommended - Next Fiscal Yr EPS: $-0.54
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 18 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -164.4%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $5.52
52-Week Low: $3.60
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $4.14
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $150 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 0.5% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 11 points to above Avita Medical Ltd (RCEL) stock.
Heads up: One or more P/E inputs look exaggerated and may skew the blend.
• Growth Based PE 50.00 (>2× median)
Further research is recommended; please use your own due diligence.
In such cases, multiplying earnings by the long-run average P/E typically gives a closer, more reliable fair value.
Fair Value PE 12, Industry Based PE 18, Growth Based PE 50, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 18.2. Based on these 4 values, average assigned is 24.55. The fair value of Avita Medical Ltd (RCEL) stock cannot be calculated since EBITDA and EPS are either 0 or negative.
